{"id":4967,"date":"2022-09-22T15:23:57","date_gmt":"2022-09-22T15:23:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/?p=4967"},"modified":"2024-02-02T19:55:46","modified_gmt":"2024-02-02T22:55:46","slug":"putins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/2022\/09\/22\/putins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin&#8217;s reservists call-up: How will it work and what does it mean for Russia&#8217;s war in Ukraine?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>By&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/carbonaro_giu\"><strong>Giulia Carbonaro<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;&nbsp;&amp;&nbsp;<strong>Reuters<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;\u2022&nbsp;&nbsp;Updated:&nbsp;22\/09\/2022 &#8211;&nbsp;16:16<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/07\/03\/28\/86\/773x435_cmsv2_136146f8-78a3-5d9a-bf67-f4d69b40a29a-7032886.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>a Russian soldier attends a military exercising at the Golovenki training ground in the Moscow region, Russia&nbsp;<\/em>&nbsp;&nbsp;&#8211;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Copyright&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2022\/09\/22\/putins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukrain#\">Credit: AP<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SHARE THIS ARTICLE<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/share.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.euronews.com%2F2022%2F09%2F22%2Fputins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukrain%3Futm_source%3DFacebook%26utm_medium%3DSocial&amp;title=What+do+we+know+about+Putin%27s+controversial+call-up+of+reservists%3F%27,%27Putin%27s+reservists+call-up%3A+How+will+it+work+and+what+does+it+mean+for+Russia%27s+war+in+Ukraine%3F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=What+do+we+know+about+Putin%27s+controversial+call-up+of+reservists%3F&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.euronews.com%2F2022%2F09%2F22%2Fputins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukrain%3Futm_source%3DTwitter%26utm_medium%3DSocial\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a 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href=\"https:\/\/www.reddit.com\/submit?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.euronews.com%2F2022%2F09%2F22%2Fputins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukrain%3Futm_source%3DReddit%26utm_medium%3DSocial&amp;title=What+do+we+know+about+Putin%27s+controversial+call-up+of+reservists%3F%27,%27Putin%27s+reservists+call-up%3A+How+will+it+work+and+what+does+it+mean+for+Russia%27s+war+in+Ukraine%3F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/social_icon_reddit.svg\" alt=\"reddit\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/dialog\/send?app_id=1911142242492832&amp;redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.euronews.com%2F2022%2F09%2F22%2Fputins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukrain%3Futm_source%3DMessenger-dsk%26utm_medium%3DSocial&amp;link=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.euronews.com%2F2022%2F09%2F22%2Fputins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukrain\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/social_icon_messenger.svg\" alt=\"messenger-dsk\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/shareArticle?mini=true&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.euronews.com%2F2022%2F09%2F22%2Fputins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukrain%3Futm_source%3DLinkedin%26utm_medium%3DSocial&amp;title=What+do+we+know+about+Putin%27s+controversial+call-up+of+reservists%3F&amp;Putin%27s+reservists+call-up%3A+How+will+it+work+and+what+does+it+mean+for+Russia%27s+war+in+Ukraine%3F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/social_icon_linkedin.svg\" alt=\"linkedin\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"http:\/\/vk.com\/share.php?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.euronews.com%2F2022%2F09%2F22%2Fputins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukrain%3Futm_source%3DVk%26utm_medium%3DSocial&amp;title=What+do+we+know+about+Putin%27s+controversial+call-up+of+reservists%3F%27,%27Putin%27s+reservists+call-up%3A+How+will+it+work+and+what+does+it+mean+for+Russia%27s+war+in+Ukraine%3F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/social_icon_vk.svg\" alt=\"vk\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Russian President Vladimir Putin declared&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2022\/09\/21\/putin-declares-partial-military-mobilisation-to-bolster-ukraine-war-effort\"><strong>a \u00abpartial military mobilisation<\/strong><\/a>\u00ab, which could see an initial 300,000 reservists join Moscow&#8217;s war in Ukraine.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But, how will the call-up of fresh troops work? What has been the reaction in Russia? And what happens next if the mobilisation fails?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What do we know about the troops call-up?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Putin referred to a partial mobilisation of reservists in his speech, but there is little detail on numbers in the government&#8217;s&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/en.kremlin.ru\/events\/president\/news\/69391\">decree<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia&#8217;s defence minister Sergei Shoigu did later say that up to 300,000 people could be mobilised from a pool of 25 million.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Critics point out the decree has been left&nbsp;deliberately vague to give the authorities a wide degree of latitude when implementing it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The immediate call-up of 300,000 reservists will concern those who have previously served in the Russian army and have combat experience or specialised military skills.&nbsp;Students or conscripts &#8212; young men serving mandatory 12-month terms in the armed forces &#8212; will not be included.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reservists cannot physically be deployed to Ukraine immediately as they will need to first undergo refresher or new training and be made familiar with the way Russia executes what it calls its \u00abspecial military operation\u00bb.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adclick.g.doubleclick.net\/pcs\/click?xai=AKAOjssMQD8Q5XxDycD5zlLg_PUamMamS7WYjq_pr4Be1ODs4XU8gzdyc1zbHBOhc-KelOESfn1qwE6J1539rH0XeAhDjmRMJ_dv2IYWRRuyLQHCh55Bl1J1wAnnb2rCyafpR3pdresXeCyfGNjHkfIFq0NcaK1IhwtWSBpKaR6m58loAEFhrQjG08CvhTQhgNl-WJ-hCOyUA_wV758MeiYszEL2r4AmKtA69oGeMqXUf0H8sV62ZIcxerY7YTTrffvzLBKtmcdeNsSr84vtam0dWUFxW2LKthLOR6YoOub0b64DBtKYBFyVhu2dOxbiwhO2QM-UDhQ0pM8JuOB9Q5QW2R8X3Q&amp;sai=AMfl-YTEoSZw6CrWk4wRCPPCEYfthYWqG-MQ49ck8VJxUCg_1UsSAMO72CF98yZdyJ3sAEbb6k-YbvG-rYCrEDXfR1IDcGMl0ZC0QwU_tXYJm9r9OozOPMB5VwEFKh1mZloRcbqfAJU&amp;sig=Cg0ArKJSzIzo2mnzToS7EAE&amp;fbs_aeid=[gw_fbsaeid]&amp;urlfix=1&amp;adurl=https:\/\/jadserve.postrelease.com\/trk?ntv_at=3&amp;ntv_ui=25593c83-455f-4741-93c2-8ff6eca9d903&amp;ntv_a=I94HA-TlYA9OoQA&amp;ntv_fl=VnpH1V0cKgrqZv2pQ7XsqF4B7YTu3KbQOqAb6ag31EsV_h7k7nirz7wgeCT0WT3MEPiY-O7zRM05udwpWBkAZYFG9dOTU1S_F3oZfonhzKGep1PxTgb9aDNUfPUwVsY_XNYw7J6bqPiSiDx3eZUCSeu3XDC_jzI6JvM8fLPkVEuEBpFV_5vIAxue7vEf2in05v2i7Z7dH65L3FQiuh3p78Zxf2N-QKdxqA47o2dIMMbAnCD6xspo4CuV76eCgfq_7BUwdTdFpJP0kGDaubK0CjUhgoIeHvMTXP725xb899Jd1u9po7z4uViipzQuYaRu0p7BcH_FM53pVdimiCYcAUpyRdv5aP-2pUatsiY51lsFHjTx8q78Jdzn8NyVeAy7&amp;ord=923416240&amp;ntv_ht=CncsYwA&amp;ntv_enc_pr=RHhfUfTZmdldO4AqX314PI11feKqujz1flrs0jEN1LLCRY5mbf7LXWWieJHyBEjdbuCCOkut5tqEx1GqgMAp1OtHSA3LyAhNltTyQ-LoArA=&amp;ntv_r=https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/sponsored-content\/web3-ma-is-coming-of-age-with-the-help-of-the-industrys-best\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ntvcld-a.akamaihd.net\/image\/upload\/w_600,h_338,c_fill,g_auto:text,f_auto\/assets\/BA1F6F88CDA447A4962FAD148834DB96.jpeg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>SPONSORED CONTENT<a href=\"https:\/\/adclick.g.doubleclick.net\/pcs\/click?xai=AKAOjssMQD8Q5XxDycD5zlLg_PUamMamS7WYjq_pr4Be1ODs4XU8gzdyc1zbHBOhc-KelOESfn1qwE6J1539rH0XeAhDjmRMJ_dv2IYWRRuyLQHCh55Bl1J1wAnnb2rCyafpR3pdresXeCyfGNjHkfIFq0NcaK1IhwtWSBpKaR6m58loAEFhrQjG08CvhTQhgNl-WJ-hCOyUA_wV758MeiYszEL2r4AmKtA69oGeMqXUf0H8sV62ZIcxerY7YTTrffvzLBKtmcdeNsSr84vtam0dWUFxW2LKthLOR6YoOub0b64DBtKYBFyVhu2dOxbiwhO2QM-UDhQ0pM8JuOB9Q5QW2R8X3Q&amp;sai=AMfl-YTEoSZw6CrWk4wRCPPCEYfthYWqG-MQ49ck8VJxUCg_1UsSAMO72CF98yZdyJ3sAEbb6k-YbvG-rYCrEDXfR1IDcGMl0ZC0QwU_tXYJm9r9OozOPMB5VwEFKh1mZloRcbqfAJU&amp;sig=Cg0ArKJSzIzo2mnzToS7EAE&amp;fbs_aeid=[gw_fbsaeid]&amp;urlfix=1&amp;adurl=https:\/\/jadserve.postrelease.com\/trk?ntv_at=3&amp;ntv_ui=25593c83-455f-4741-93c2-8ff6eca9d903&amp;ntv_a=I94HA-TlYA9OoQA&amp;ntv_fl=VnpH1V0cKgrqZv2pQ7XsqF4B7YTu3KbQOqAb6ag31EsV_h7k7nirz7wgeCT0WT3MEPiY-O7zRM05udwpWBkAZYFG9dOTU1S_F3oZfonhzKGep1PxTgb9aDNUfPUwVsY_XNYw7J6bqPiSiDx3eZUCSeu3XDC_jzI6JvM8fLPkVEuEBpFV_5vIAxue7vEf2in05v2i7Z7dH65L3FQiuh3p78Zxf2N-QKdxqA47o2dIMMbAnCD6xspo4CuV76eCgfq_7BUwdTdFpJP0kGDaubK0CjUhgoIeHvMTXP725xb899Jd1u9po7z4uViipzQuYaRu0p7BcH_FM53pVdimiCYcAUpyRdv5aP-2pUatsiY51lsFHjTx8q78Jdzn8NyVeAy7&amp;ord=923416240&amp;ntv_ht=CncsYwA&amp;ntv_enc_pr=RHhfUfTZmdldO4AqX314PI11feKqujz1flrs0jEN1LLCRY5mbf7LXWWieJHyBEjdbuCCOkut5tqEx1GqgMAp1OtHSA3LyAhNltTyQ-LoArA=&amp;ntv_r=https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/sponsored-content\/web3-ma-is-coming-of-age-with-the-help-of-the-industrys-best\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Web3 M&amp;A Is Coming of Age With the Help of the Industry\u2019s Best<\/a>Mergers and acquisitions (M&amp;A) doesn&#8217;t always get the love it deserves, but it should. Across the economy, M&amp;A delivers huge value to everyone when it\u2019s done right. For strategically smart&#8230;By&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/adclick.g.doubleclick.net\/pcs\/click?xai=AKAOjssMQD8Q5XxDycD5zlLg_PUamMamS7WYjq_pr4Be1ODs4XU8gzdyc1zbHBOhc-KelOESfn1qwE6J1539rH0XeAhDjmRMJ_dv2IYWRRuyLQHCh55Bl1J1wAnnb2rCyafpR3pdresXeCyfGNjHkfIFq0NcaK1IhwtWSBpKaR6m58loAEFhrQjG08CvhTQhgNl-WJ-hCOyUA_wV758MeiYszEL2r4AmKtA69oGeMqXUf0H8sV62ZIcxerY7YTTrffvzLBKtmcdeNsSr84vtam0dWUFxW2LKthLOR6YoOub0b64DBtKYBFyVhu2dOxbiwhO2QM-UDhQ0pM8JuOB9Q5QW2R8X3Q&amp;sai=AMfl-YTEoSZw6CrWk4wRCPPCEYfthYWqG-MQ49ck8VJxUCg_1UsSAMO72CF98yZdyJ3sAEbb6k-YbvG-rYCrEDXfR1IDcGMl0ZC0QwU_tXYJm9r9OozOPMB5VwEFKh1mZloRcbqfAJU&amp;sig=Cg0ArKJSzIzo2mnzToS7EAE&amp;fbs_aeid=[gw_fbsaeid]&amp;urlfix=1&amp;adurl=https:\/\/jadserve.postrelease.com\/trk?ntv_at=3&amp;ntv_ui=25593c83-455f-4741-93c2-8ff6eca9d903&amp;ntv_a=I94HA-TlYA9OoQA&amp;ntv_fl=VnpH1V0cKgrqZv2pQ7XsqF4B7YTu3KbQOqAb6ag31EsV_h7k7nirz7wgeCT0WT3MEPiY-O7zRM05udwpWBkAZYFG9dOTU1S_F3oZfonhzKGep1PxTgb9aDNUfPUwVsY_XNYw7J6bqPiSiDx3eZUCSeu3XDC_jzI6JvM8fLPkVEuEBpFV_5vIAxue7vEf2in05v2i7Z7dH65L3FQiuh3p78Zxf2N-QKdxqA47o2dIMMbAnCD6xspo4CuV76eCgfq_7BUwdTdFpJP0kGDaubK0CjUhgoIeHvMTXP725xb899Jd1u9po7z4uViipzQuYaRu0p7BcH_FM53pVdimiCYcAUpyRdv5aP-2pUatsiY51lsFHjTx8q78Jdzn8NyVeAy7&amp;ord=923416240&amp;ntv_ht=CncsYwA&amp;ntv_enc_pr=RHhfUfTZmdldO4AqX314PI11feKqujz1flrs0jEN1LLCRY5mbf7LXWWieJHyBEjdbuCCOkut5tqEx1GqgMAp1OtHSA3LyAhNltTyQ-LoArA=&amp;ntv_r=https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/sponsored-content\/web3-ma-is-coming-of-age-with-the-help-of-the-industrys-best\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Acquire.Fi<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Western military analysts forecast it will therefore be several months before they see action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/07\/03\/28\/86\/808x454_cmsv2_dbe98931-9af9-5e20-bf45-273768d74831-7032886.jpg\" alt=\"Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP, File\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Putin and Shoigu described some criteria for the partial mobilisation, but questions remain over who will be drafted.<\/em>Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP, File<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Reservists will be financially incentivised and be paid like full-time serving professional soldiers who make much more money than the average Russian wage. That may make the proposition more attractive for some men in the provinces where wages are traditionally lower than in big cities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Professional soldiers known as &#8216;kontraktniki&#8217; who are currently serving in the armed forces will have their contracts automatically extended until the authorities decide to end the period of temporary mobilisation. In other words, it just became much harder for serving professional soldiers to quit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A day earlier, the Russian parliament approved a bill to toughen punishments for crimes such as desertion, damage to military property and insubordination if they are committed during military mobilisation or combat situations. According to a copy of the legislation, seen by Reuters, voluntary surrender would become a crime for Russian military personnel punishable by 10 years in prison.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What does Putin&#8217;s move tell us about the conflict in Ukraine?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Putin&#8217;s announcement came only a&nbsp;day after it was announced that \u00abreferendums\u00bb on joining Russia will begin on Friday&nbsp;in the Russian-occupied areas of Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhya.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe idea here is that if these territories join the Russian Federation, any attacks upon them would then be considered as attacks on Russia,\u00bb&nbsp;Dr Marina Miron, from the Defence Studies Department of the King&#8217;s College London, told Euronews.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abSo, it is logical to start this partial mobilisation now, especially in light of what happened in Kharkiv Oblast and which served as a catalyst for this rapid turn in events,\u201d Dr Miron added, referring to Kyiv&#8217;s counteroffensive in the north-east of the country, where it has reclaimed 8,000 square kilometres of territory.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt is suggested that the number was carefully calculated and only the amount needed to protect those territories is being mobilised,\u201d said Dr Miron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The partial mobilisation is also aimed at putting the campaign in Ukraine at the centre of the Russian public&#8217;s attention and making people care about the Russian cause, she claimed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe Kremlin has been trying to cultivate the national spirit for many years now and following this logic, this mobilisation is perceived as a way to recruit more people to defend the homeland,\u00bb&nbsp; Dr Miron said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abIt is not about the war in Ukraine; it is about defending Russia and territories belonging to Russia, however far-fetched that might seem.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abThe war in Ukraine is not a war between Russia and Ukraine, but a war between Russia and \u2018the collective West\u2019, in the Kremlin\u2019s eyes.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abSo, this narrative is used to justify such mobilisation in the first place.\u201dhttps:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=eyJ0ZndfdGltZWxpbmVfbGlzdCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOlsibGlua3RyLmVlIiwidHIuZWUiLCJ0ZXJyYS5jb20uYnIiLCJ3d3cubGlua3RyLmVlIiwid3d3LnRyLmVlIiwid3d3LnRlcnJhLmNvbS5iciJdLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdGltZWxpbmVfMTIwMzQiOnsiYnVja2V0IjoidHJlYXRtZW50IiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd190d2VldF9lZGl0X2JhY2tlbmQiOnsiYnVja2V0Ijoib24iLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3JlZnNyY19zZXNzaW9uIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6Im9uIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd19jaGluX3BpbGxzXzE0NzQxIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6ImNvbG9yX2ljb25zIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd190d2VldF9yZXN1bHRfbWlncmF0aW9uXzEzOTc5Ijp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6InR3ZWV0X3Jlc3VsdCIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0Zndfc2Vuc2l0aXZlX21lZGlhX2ludGVyc3RpdGlhbF8xMzk2MyI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJpbnRlcnN0aXRpYWwiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2V4cGVyaW1lbnRzX2Nvb2tpZV9leHBpcmF0aW9uIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6MTIwOTYwMCwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd19kdXBsaWNhdGVfc2NyaWJlc190b19zZXR0aW5ncyI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdHdlZXRfZWRpdF9mcm9udGVuZCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvZmYiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfX0%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1572568398969868288&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.euronews.com%2F2022%2F09%2F22%2Fputins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukrain&amp;sessionId=d97466de5458dbf6fb12940a770bd38b3deeb077&amp;siteScreenName=euronews&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=1bfeb5c3714e8%3A1661975971032&amp;width=550px<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nikolay Petrov, a senior research fellow within the Russia and Eurasia programme at London\u2019s Chatham House, agrees.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cPutin\u2019s speech was an attempt to turn the imperialist war into a patriotic war\u201d after nearly seven months of fighting, he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He thinks the upcoming \u00abreferendums\u00bb have the same objective, to compensate for a faltering campaign in Ukraine.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe unexpected hasty referendums in the occupied territories of Ukraine are an attempt by the Kremlin to capture these territories politically, since it was unable to do so militarily,\u201d Petrov said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, Petrov also believes the partial mobilisation might have been called to appease the concerns of political allies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cPutin&#8217;s recent meetings with the leaders of China, India and other non-Western countries, who have publicly voiced their dissatisfaction with the protracted war and called for its ending, may have also played a role,\u201d Petrov said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/07\/03\/28\/86\/808x454_cmsv2_6803eaef-b378-5058-994f-e44d0cfdc538-7032886.jpg\" alt=\"AP Photo\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>A volunteer of Luhansk regional election commission distributes newspapers to local citizens prior to a referendum in Luhansk.<\/em>AP Photo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How prepared are Russia&#8217;s reservists?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In a televised speech to the nation on Wednesday, Putin said the \u00abpartial mobilisation\u00bb involves \u201conly citizens who are currently in the reserve will be subject to conscription, and above all, those who served in the armed forces have a certain military speciality and relevant experience\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Shoigu, only those with relevant combat and service experience will be mobilised. The reservists answering to this description are about 25 million people, but only around 1% will be mobilised, claimed Shoigu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe question is: do all these criteria have to be fulfilled or is it enough to fulfil just one?\u201d Dr Miron asked. \u201cAgain, despite the seemingly clear criteria, this has caused a lot of concern amongst potential candidates. It should be noted that Russia has its own \u2018Vietnam syndrome\u2019 after the Soviet venture in Afghanistan, so whatever is to happen, the Kremlin will have to skillfully design its informational campaign to avoid potential backlash on a larger scale.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/07\/03\/28\/86\/808x454_cmsv2_2e238620-e0a8-57a8-92db-480b5780f376-7032886.jpg\" alt=\"Olga Maltseva\/AFP\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>A billboard promoting contract army service with an image of a serviceman and the slogan reading \u00abServing Russia is a real job\u00bb sits in Saint Petersburg on September 20, 2022.<\/em>Olga Maltseva\/AFP<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>There may also be issues with the preparedness of reservists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the Washington-based think tank the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), \u201cthe Russian reserve has over two million former conscripts and contract servicemen on paper, but few are actively trained or prepared for war\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ISW writes that, historically, \u201conly 10 per cent of reservists receive refresher training after completing their initial term of service\u201d, adding that Russia lacks the administrative and financial capacity to train reservists on an ongoing basis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What has been the reaction in Russia?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The announcement&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2022\/09\/21\/russian-protesters-take-to-the-streets-over-putins-mobilisation-order\">has triggered protests<\/a><\/strong>&nbsp;in Russia, where some are increasingly fatigued by what in the country is still known as the \u201cspecial military operation\u201d in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russian media reported&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2022\/09\/21\/prices-for-flights-out-of-russia-soar-after-putins-reservists-call-up\">a spike in demand<\/a><\/strong>&nbsp;for plane tickets shortly after Putin\u2019s televised speech on Wednesday.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the same day, jailed dissident and opposition leader Alexei Navalny&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2022\/09\/21\/putin-wants-to-smear-people-in-blood-alexei-navalny-condemns-kremlin-mobilisation-order\">accused Putin<\/a><\/strong>&nbsp;of sending more Russians to their deaths.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt is clear that the criminal war is getting worse, deepening, and Putin is trying to involve as many people as possible in this,\u201d Navalny said in a video message from jail recorded and published by his lawyers. \u201cHe wants to smear hundreds of thousands of people in this blood,\u201d Navalny said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Wednesday, the Youth Democratic opposition movement \u00abVesna\u00bb called for nationwide protests.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThousands of Russian men &#8212; our fathers, brothers and husbands &#8212; will be thrown into the meat grinder of the war. What will they be dying for? What will mothers and children be crying for?\u201d the group said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avtozak, a Russian group that monitors protests, reported demonstrations by dozens of people in cities, including Ulan-Ude and Tomsk in Siberia, and Khabarovsk in the Far East, with some protesters being arrested by authorities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/07\/03\/28\/86\/808x454_cmsv2_842d05ef-330e-5225-9135-1844daf5acc2-7032886.jpg\" alt=\"AP Photo\/Alexander Zemlianichenko\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Riot police detain a demonstrator during a protest against mobilization, in Moscow, Russia, Wednesday, Sept. 21, 2022.<\/em>AP Photo\/Alexander Zemlianichenko<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe feelings towards this decision have been mixed and there have been quite a few instances of opposition from several media outlets, such as the St. Petersburg-based news site Bumaga, which claimed in its Telegram channel that the frequency of the search term &#8216;how to break your arm&#8217; had spiked amongst Google users from Russia,\u00bb Dr Miron said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cGiven the protests that took place across Russia, it is to assume that the population is not in favour of this new measure. However, the official media is trying to downplay this new decision, hence, there will be an attempt to pacify the population segment that is against this partial mobilisation,\u201d she added. \u201cThere will be a need to act on the information front to prevent a complete polarisation of the Russian population. The situation is quite complicated as supporting Russia\u2019s \u2018special military operation\u2019 in Ukraine is one thing, but it is quite another thing when there is a possibility of being drafted to actively contribute.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s unclear if the size of the protests will grow in the coming days, especially considering that the Kremlin still harshly punishes those who criticise the military and Russia&#8217;s war in Ukraine.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe Kremlin has sharply tightened legislation in the spirit of Stalin&#8217;s time, which will mean severe penalties for anyone evading mobilisation, refusing to participate in the war and desertion,\u201d Petrov said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe repressive nature of the regime inevitably increases. Altogether, radically changing the game and raising the stakes looks like a manifestation of Putin&#8217;s weakness rather than strength.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dr Miron also said that there will be increased pressure on reservists to respond to the call to arms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThere will be a lot of pressure exercised upon those who refuse to mobilise or cannot accredit their inability to serve for whatever reason,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt is to assume that those who are not \u2018patriotic\u2019 enough will try to make their case rather than avoiding response or flat-out refusing service. In many cases, people will have to choose the smaller evil, whatever it might be in their particular situation. Given the current economic situation, there is a chance that those from poorer regions of the Russian Federation will take up this opportunity to earn some money,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">If this doesn&#8217;t work, what next?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Orysia Lutsevych, head and research fellow at the Chatham House&#8217;s Ukraine Forum, believes the partial mobilisation won\u2019t be enough to turn the tide of the war and give Russian troops the upper hand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cPartial mobilisation will not have a decisive impact on the battlefield because new recruits are untrained and not combat-ready,\u201d she said, adding that she doesn\u2019t see any of the initiatives pushed by the Kremlin as likely to succeed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cRussian internal military infrastructure can hardly support general mobilisation as it was downgraded by recent &#8216;reforms&#8217;. The illegal &#8216;referendums&#8217; will not be recognised by Ukraine nor the West. It will not change the military campaign where Ukraine reserves the right to attack and eventually liberate the territory. We are likely to see more sanctions in response to this move,\u201d Lutsevych said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u200b\u200bIt is quite improbable that this mobilisation does not work,\u201d said Dr Miron, pointing out that 300,000 reservists are \u00abroughly the number that the Russian ground forces have on active duty\u201d. She added that while not everyone might support the campaign in Ukraine, many might be interested in the financial gains involved in the mobilisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/07\/03\/28\/86\/808x454_cmsv2_9149d36d-0f62-548a-893e-34df6b3b6447-7032886.jpg\" alt=\"AFP\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>An activist holds a single-person picket in support of Russian President Vladimir Putin in central Moscow on September 22, 2022.<\/em>AFP<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>But what\u2019s next for Russia will depend on the result of this partial mobilisation, Dr Miron added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhile this document [Wednesday\u2019s decree] does not leave out the possibility to escalate mobilisation, it remains to be seen how many will be mobilised and if these numbers are enough to reach the \u2018goals of the military operation&#8217;,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cA full mobilisation would entail a declaration of war. While not quite impossible, right now it would seem that this is the most appropriate option in order not to cause too much public unrest while bolstering the military capabilities on the front.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIn addition, if Luhansk and Donetsk and potentially others join the Russian Federation, there will be a need for permanent presence to ensure that these territories can be defended. And the experience in Izium has shown that Russia did not have enough manpower. So, in essence, it is a way to avoid further territorial losses as well.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dr Luke March,&nbsp;Professor in Soviet and Post-Soviet Politics and Director of Undergraduate Teaching for Politics and International Relations at the University of Edinburgh, agrees that Putin will stir away from calling the conflict in Ukraine a war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abUltimately Putin doesn\u2019t have to do anything and can try to pretend [the conflict] is something other than it is \u2013 this will be preferable to admitting openly that it is a war requiring full mobilisation, which runs the strong risk of people feeling deceived and inciting opposition,\u00bb Dr March said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abIf Western support doesn\u2019t falter over a hard winter, and arms supplies continue, the balance of forces will increasingly favour Ukraine, and the domestic problems for Putin will start to grow much larger,\u00bb Dr March added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>un soldado ruso asiste a un ejercicio militar en el campo de entrenamiento de Golovenki en la regi\u00f3n de Mosc\u00fa, Rusia &#8211; Cr\u00e9dito de los derechos de autor: AP<br>COMPARTE ESTE ART\u00cdCULO<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Facebook<br>gorjeo<br>flipboard<br>icono de correo<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El presidente ruso, Vladimir Putin, declar\u00f3 una \u00abmovilizaci\u00f3n militar parcial\u00bb, que podr\u00eda hacer que 300.000 reservistas iniciales se unan a la guerra de Mosc\u00fa en Ucrania.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pero, \u00bfc\u00f3mo funcionar\u00e1 la convocatoria de tropas frescas? \u00bfCu\u00e1l ha sido la reacci\u00f3n en Rusia? \u00bfY qu\u00e9 pasa despu\u00e9s si la movilizaci\u00f3n falla?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00bfQu\u00e9 sabemos de la convocatoria de tropas?<br>Putin se refiri\u00f3 a una movilizaci\u00f3n parcial de reservistas en su discurso, pero hay pocos detalles sobre n\u00fameros en el decreto del gobierno.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El ministro de Defensa de Rusia, Sergei Shoigu, dijo m\u00e1s tarde que se podr\u00edan movilizar hasta 300.000 personas de un grupo de 25 millones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los cr\u00edticos se\u00f1alan que el decreto se ha dejado deliberadamente vago para dar a las autoridades un amplio grado de libertad a la hora de implementarlo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La convocatoria inmediata de 300.000 reservistas se referir\u00e1 a aquellos que hayan servido previamente en el ej\u00e9rcito ruso y tengan experiencia de combate o habilidades militares especializadas. No se incluir\u00e1n estudiantes o reclutas, hombres j\u00f3venes que cumplen mandatos obligatorios de 12 meses en las fuerzas armadas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los reservistas no pueden desplegarse f\u00edsicamente en Ucrania de inmediato, ya que primero deber\u00e1n someterse a una actualizaci\u00f3n o un nuevo entrenamiento y familiarizarse con la forma en que Rusia ejecuta lo que llama su \u00aboperaci\u00f3n militar especial\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CONTENIDO PATROCINADO<br>Web3 M&amp;A alcanza la mayor\u00eda de edad con la ayuda de los mejores de la industria<br>Las fusiones y adquisiciones (M&amp;A) no siempre reciben el cari\u00f1o que merecen, pero deber\u00edan. En toda la econom\u00eda, las fusiones y adquisiciones brindan un gran valor a todos cuando se hacen bien. Para estrat\u00e9gicamente inteligente\u2026<br>Por Adquirir.Fi<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los analistas militares occidentales pronostican que pasar\u00e1n varios meses antes de que vean acci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sputnik, foto de la piscina del Kremlin v\u00eda AP, archivo<br>Putin y Shoigu describieron algunos criterios para la movilizaci\u00f3n parcial, pero quedan dudas sobre qui\u00e9n ser\u00e1 reclutado. Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo v\u00eda AP, archivo<br>Los reservistas ser\u00e1n incentivados financieramente y se les pagar\u00e1 como soldados profesionales de tiempo completo que ganan mucho m\u00e1s dinero que el salario promedio ruso. Eso puede hacer que la propuesta sea m\u00e1s atractiva para algunos hombres en las provincias donde los salarios son tradicionalmente m\u00e1s bajos que en las grandes ciudades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los contratos de los soldados profesionales conocidos como &#8216;kontraktniki&#8217; que actualmente prestan servicio en las fuerzas armadas se prorrogar\u00e1n autom\u00e1ticamente hasta que las autoridades decidan finalizar el per\u00edodo de movilizaci\u00f3n temporal. En otras palabras, se volvi\u00f3 mucho m\u00e1s dif\u00edcil para los soldados profesionales en servicio renunciar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Un d\u00eda antes, el parlamento ruso aprob\u00f3 un proyecto de ley para endurecer las penas por delitos como la deserci\u00f3n, el da\u00f1o a la propiedad militar y la insubordinaci\u00f3n si se cometen durante la movilizaci\u00f3n militar o situaciones de combate. Seg\u00fan una copia de la legislaci\u00f3n, vista por Reuters, la entrega voluntaria se convertir\u00eda en un delito para el personal militar ruso punible con 10 a\u00f1os de prisi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00bfQu\u00e9 nos dice la jugada de Putin sobre el conflicto en Ucrania?<br>El anuncio de Putin se produjo solo un d\u00eda despu\u00e9s de que se anunciara que los \u00abrefer\u00e9ndums\u00bb para unirse a Rusia comenzar\u00e1n el viernes en las \u00e1reas ocupadas por Rusia de Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson y Zaporizhzhya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abLa idea aqu\u00ed es que si estos territorios se unen a la Federaci\u00f3n Rusa, cualquier ataque contra ellos se considerar\u00eda como un ataque a Rusia\u00bb, dijo a Euronews la Dra. Marina Miron, del Departamento de Estudios de Defensa del King&#8217;s College de Londres.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abEntonces, es l\u00f3gico comenzar esta movilizaci\u00f3n parcial ahora, especialmente a la luz de lo que sucedi\u00f3 en el \u00f3blast de Kharkiv y que sirvi\u00f3 como catalizador para este r\u00e1pido giro en los acontecimientos\u00bb, agreg\u00f3 el Dr. Miron, refiri\u00e9ndose a la contraofensiva de Kyiv en el noreste de Kharkiv. del pa\u00eds, donde ha recuperado 8.000 kil\u00f3metros cuadrados de territorio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cSe sugiere que el n\u00famero se calcul\u00f3 cuidadosamente y que solo se est\u00e1 movilizando la cantidad necesaria para proteger esos territorios\u201d, dijo el Dr. Miron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La movilizaci\u00f3n parcial tambi\u00e9n tiene como objetivo poner la campa\u00f1a en Ucrania en el centro de la atenci\u00f3n del p\u00fablico ruso y hacer que la gente se preocupe por la causa rusa, afirm\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEl Kremlin ha estado tratando de cultivar el esp\u00edritu nacional durante muchos a\u00f1os y siguiendo esta l\u00f3gica, esta movilizaci\u00f3n se percibe como una forma de reclutar a m\u00e1s personas para defender la patria\u201d, dijo el Dr. Miron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abNo se trata de la guerra en Ucrania; se trata de defender a Rusia y los territorios que pertenecen a Rusia, por muy descabellado que parezca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abLa guerra en Ucrania no es una guerra entre Rusia y Ucrania, sino una guerra entre Rusia y &#8216;el Occidente colectivo&#8217;, a los ojos del Kremlin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abEntonces, esta narrativa se usa para justificar tal movilizaci\u00f3n en primer lugar\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nikolay Petrov, investigador s\u00e9nior del programa Rusia y Eurasia en la Chatham House de Londres, est\u00e1 de acuerdo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEl discurso de Putin fue un intento de convertir la guerra imperialista en una guerra patri\u00f3tica\u201d despu\u00e9s de casi siete meses de lucha, dijo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>el t<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>insin\u00faa que los pr\u00f3ximos \u00abrefer\u00e9ndums\u00bb tienen el mismo objetivo, compensar una campa\u00f1a vacilante en Ucrania.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLos inesperados referendos apresurados en los territorios ocupados de Ucrania son un intento del Kremlin de capturar estos territorios pol\u00edticamente, ya que no pudo hacerlo militarmente\u201d, dijo Petrov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por otro lado, Petrov tambi\u00e9n cree que la movilizaci\u00f3n parcial podr\u00eda haber sido convocada para apaciguar las preocupaciones de los aliados pol\u00edticos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLas reuniones recientes de Putin con los l\u00edderes de China, India y otros pa\u00edses no occidentales, que expresaron p\u00fablicamente su descontento con la guerra prolongada y pidieron su fin, tambi\u00e9n pueden haber influido\u201d, dijo Petrov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Foto AP<br>Un voluntario de la comisi\u00f3n electoral regional de Luhansk distribuye peri\u00f3dicos a los ciudadanos locales antes de un refer\u00e9ndum en Luhansk. AP Photo<br>\u00bfQu\u00e9 tan preparados est\u00e1n los reservistas de Rusia?<br>En un discurso televisado a la naci\u00f3n el mi\u00e9rcoles, Putin dijo que la \u00abmovilizaci\u00f3n parcial\u00bb involucra que \u00absolo los ciudadanos que est\u00e1n actualmente en la reserva estar\u00e1n sujetos a reclutamiento y, sobre todo, aquellos que sirvieron en las fuerzas armadas tienen una cierta especialidad militar y experiencia relevante\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seg\u00fan Shoigu, solo se movilizar\u00e1n aquellos con experiencia relevante en combate y servicio. Los reservistas que responden a esta descripci\u00f3n son unos 25 millones de personas, pero solo se movilizar\u00e1 alrededor del 1%, afirm\u00f3 Shoigu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLa pregunta es: \u00bfse tienen que cumplir todos estos criterios o es suficiente cumplir con uno solo?\u201d. pregunt\u00f3 el Dr. Miron. \u201cNuevamente, a pesar de los criterios aparentemente claros, esto ha causado mucha preocupaci\u00f3n entre los posibles candidatos. Cabe se\u00f1alar que Rusia tiene su propio \u00abs\u00edndrome de Vietnam\u00bb despu\u00e9s de la aventura sovi\u00e9tica en Afganist\u00e1n, por lo que pase lo que pase, el Kremlin tendr\u00e1 que dise\u00f1ar h\u00e1bilmente su campa\u00f1a informativa para evitar una posible reacci\u00f3n violenta a mayor escala\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Olga Maltseva\/AFP<br>Una valla publicitaria que promociona el servicio militar por contrato con la imagen de un militar y el lema \u00abServir a Rusia es un trabajo real\u00bb se encuentra en San Petersburgo el 20 de septiembre de 2022.Olga Maltseva\/AFP<br>Tambi\u00e9n puede haber problemas con la preparaci\u00f3n de los reservistas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seg\u00fan el grupo de expertos con sede en Washington, el Instituto para el Estudio de la Guerra (ISW), \u00abla reserva rusa tiene m\u00e1s de dos millones de ex reclutas y militares contratados en el papel, pero pocos est\u00e1n activamente entrenados o preparados para la guerra\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ISW escribe que, hist\u00f3ricamente, \u00absolo el 10 por ciento de los reservistas reciben capacitaci\u00f3n de actualizaci\u00f3n despu\u00e9s de completar su per\u00edodo inicial de servicio\u00bb, y agrega que Rusia carece de la capacidad administrativa y financiera para capacitar a los reservistas de manera continua.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00bfCu\u00e1l ha sido la reacci\u00f3n en Rusia?<br>El anuncio ha desencadenado protestas en Rusia, donde algunos est\u00e1n cada vez m\u00e1s fatigados por lo que en el pa\u00eds todav\u00eda se conoce como la \u201coperaci\u00f3n militar especial\u201d en Ucrania.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los medios rusos informaron un aumento en la demanda de boletos de avi\u00f3n poco despu\u00e9s del discurso televisado de Putin el mi\u00e9rcoles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El mismo d\u00eda, el l\u00edder opositor y disidente encarcelado Alexei Navalny acus\u00f3 a Putin de enviar a m\u00e1s rusos a la muerte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEst\u00e1 claro que la guerra criminal est\u00e1 empeorando, profundiz\u00e1ndose, y Putin est\u00e1 tratando de involucrar a la mayor cantidad de personas posible en esto\u201d, dijo Navalny en un mensaje de video desde la c\u00e1rcel grabado y publicado por sus abogados. \u201cQuiere manchar a cientos de miles de personas con esta sangre\u201d, dijo Navalny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El mi\u00e9rcoles, el movimiento de oposici\u00f3n de la Juventud Democr\u00e1tica \u00abVesna\u00bb convoc\u00f3 protestas en todo el pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cMiles de hombres rusos, nuestros padres, hermanos y esposos, ser\u00e1n arrojados a la picadora de carne de la guerra. \u00bfPor qu\u00e9 estar\u00e1n muriendo? \u00bfPor qu\u00e9 llorar\u00e1n las madres y los ni\u00f1os? dijo el grupo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avtozak, un grupo ruso que monitorea las protestas, inform\u00f3 manifestaciones de decenas de personas en ciudades, incluidas Ulan-Ude y Tomsk en Siberia, y Khabarovsk en el Lejano Oriente, con algunos manifestantes arrestados por las autoridades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Foto AP\/Alexander Zemlianichenko<br>La polic\u00eda antidisturbios detiene a un manifestante durante una protesta contra la movilizaci\u00f3n, en Mosc\u00fa, Rusia, el mi\u00e9rcoles 21 de septiembre de 2022. AP Photo\/Alexander Zemlianichenko<br>\u201cLos sentimientos hacia esta decisi\u00f3n han sido mixtos y ha habido bastantes instancias de oposici\u00f3n de varios medios de comunicaci\u00f3n, como el sitio de noticias con sede en San Petersburgo Bumaga, que afirm\u00f3 en su canal de Telegram que la frecuencia del t\u00e9rmino de b\u00fasqueda &#8216; c\u00f3mo romperse el brazo&#8217; se hab\u00eda disparado entre los usuarios de Google de Rusia\u00bb, dijo el Dr. Miron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cDadas las protestas que tuvieron lugar en toda Rusia, es de suponer que la poblaci\u00f3n no est\u00e1 a favor de esta nueva medida. Sin embargo, los medios oficiales est\u00e1n tratando de restarle importancia a esta nueva decisi\u00f3n, por lo que se intentar\u00e1 pacificar al segmento de la poblaci\u00f3n que est\u00e1 en contra de esta movilizaci\u00f3n parcial\u201d, agreg\u00f3. \u201cSer\u00e1 necesario actuar en el frente de la informaci\u00f3n para evitar una polarizaci\u00f3n completa de la poblaci\u00f3n rusa. La situaci\u00f3n es bastante complicada ya que una cosa es apoyar la &#8216;operaci\u00f3n militar especial&#8217; de Rusia en Ucrania, pero otra muy distinta cuando<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>existe la posibilidad de ser reclutado para contribuir activamente\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No est\u00e1 claro si el tama\u00f1o de las protestas crecer\u00e1 en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas, especialmente si se tiene en cuenta que el Kremlin todav\u00eda castiga con dureza a quienes critican a los militares y la guerra de Rusia en Ucrania.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEl Kremlin ha endurecido dr\u00e1sticamente la legislaci\u00f3n en el esp\u00edritu de la \u00e9poca de Stalin, lo que significar\u00e1 severas sanciones para cualquiera que evada la movilizaci\u00f3n, se niegue a participar en la guerra y la deserci\u00f3n\u201d, dijo Petrov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLa naturaleza represiva del r\u00e9gimen inevitablemente aumenta. En conjunto, cambiar radicalmente el juego y aumentar las apuestas parece una manifestaci\u00f3n de la debilidad de Putin en lugar de la fuerza\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El Dr. Miron tambi\u00e9n dijo que habr\u00e1 una mayor presi\u00f3n sobre los reservistas para que respondan al llamado a las armas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cSe ejercer\u00e1 mucha presi\u00f3n sobre quienes se niegan a movilizarse o no pueden acreditar su incapacidad para servir por cualquier raz\u00f3n\u201d, dijo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEs asumir que aquellos que no son lo suficientemente &#8216;patriotas&#8217; intentar\u00e1n presentar su caso en lugar de evitar una respuesta o rechazar el servicio rotundamente. En muchos casos, las personas tendr\u00e1n que elegir el mal menor, cualquiera que sea en su situaci\u00f3n particular. Dada la situaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica actual, existe la posibilidad de que las personas de las regiones m\u00e1s pobres de la Federaci\u00f3n Rusa aprovechen esta oportunidad para ganar algo de dinero\u201d, dijo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si esto no funciona, \u00bfqu\u00e9 sigue?<br>Orysia Lutsevych, jefa e investigadora del Foro de Ucrania de Chatham House, cree que la movilizaci\u00f3n parcial no ser\u00e1 suficiente para cambiar el rumbo de la guerra y dar la ventaja a las tropas rusas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLa movilizaci\u00f3n parcial no tendr\u00e1 un impacto decisivo en el campo de batalla porque los nuevos reclutas no est\u00e1n entrenados y no est\u00e1n listos para el combate\u201d, dijo, y agreg\u00f3 que no ve ninguna de las iniciativas impulsadas por el Kremlin con posibilidades de \u00e9xito.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLa infraestructura militar interna rusa dif\u00edcilmente puede soportar la movilizaci\u00f3n general, ya que fue degradada por las recientes &#8216;reformas&#8217;. Ni Ucrania ni Occidente reconocer\u00e1n los &#8216;refer\u00e9ndums&#8217; ilegales. No cambiar\u00e1 la campa\u00f1a militar en la que Ucrania se reserva el derecho de atacar y eventualmente liberar el territorio. Es probable que veamos m\u00e1s sanciones en respuesta a este movimiento\u201d, dijo Lutsevych.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abEs bastante improbable que esta movilizaci\u00f3n no funcione\u00bb, dijo la Dra. Miron, se\u00f1alando que 300.000 reservistas son \u00abaproximadamente el n\u00famero que las fuerzas terrestres rusas tienen en servicio activo\u00bb. Agreg\u00f3 que si bien no todos podr\u00edan apoyar la campa\u00f1a en Ucrania, muchos podr\u00edan estar interesados \u200b\u200ben las ganancias financieras involucradas en la movilizaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AFP<br>Un activista realiza un piquete de una sola persona en apoyo del presidente ruso Vladimir Putin en el centro de Mosc\u00fa el 22 de septiembre de 2022. AFP<br>Pero lo que sigue para Rusia depender\u00e1 del resultado de esta movilizaci\u00f3n parcial, agreg\u00f3 el Dr. Miron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cSi bien este documento [el decreto del mi\u00e9rcoles] no deja de lado la posibilidad de escalar la movilizaci\u00f3n, queda por ver cu\u00e1ntos se movilizar\u00e1n y si estos n\u00fameros son suficientes para alcanzar los &#8216;objetivos de la operaci\u00f3n militar&#8217;\u201d, dijo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cUna movilizaci\u00f3n total implicar\u00eda una declaraci\u00f3n de guerra. Si bien no es del todo imposible, en este momento parecer\u00eda que esta es la opci\u00f3n m\u00e1s apropiada para no causar demasiado malestar p\u00fablico mientras se refuerzan las capacidades militares en el frente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAdem\u00e1s, si Luhansk y Donetsk y potencialmente otros se unen a la Federaci\u00f3n Rusa, ser\u00e1 necesaria una presencia permanente para garantizar que estos territorios puedan ser defendidos. Y la experiencia en Izium ha demostrado que Rusia no ten\u00eda suficiente mano de obra. Entonces, en esencia, tambi\u00e9n es una forma de evitar m\u00e1s p\u00e9rdidas territoriales\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El Dr. Luke March, profesor de pol\u00edtica sovi\u00e9tica y postsovi\u00e9tica y director de ense\u00f1anza de pregrado en pol\u00edtica y relaciones internacionales en la Universidad de Edimburgo, est\u00e1 de acuerdo en que Putin dejar\u00e1 de llamar guerra al conflicto en Ucrania.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abEn \u00faltima instancia, Putin no tiene que hacer nada y puede tratar de fingir que [el conflicto] es algo diferente de lo que es; esto ser\u00e1 preferible a admitir abiertamente que es una guerra que requiere una movilizaci\u00f3n total, lo que corre el riesgo de que la gente se sienta enga\u00f1ados e incitando a la oposici\u00f3n\u00bb, dijo el Dr. March.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cSi el apoyo occidental no flaquea durante un invierno duro y el suministro de armas contin\u00faa, el equilibrio de fuerzas favorecer\u00e1 cada vez m\u00e1s a Ucrania y los problemas internos de Putin comenzar\u00e1n a crecer mucho m\u00e1s\u201d, agreg\u00f3 el Dr. March.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>www.euronews.com\/2022\/09\/22\/putins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukrain<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>By&nbsp;Giulia Carbonaro&nbsp;&nbsp;&amp;&nbsp;Reuters&nbsp;&nbsp;\u2022&nbsp;&nbsp;Updated:&nbsp;22\/09\/2022 &#8211;&nbsp;16:16 a Russian soldier attends a military exercising at the Golovenki training ground in the Moscow region, Russia&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&#8211;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Copyright&nbsp;&nbsp;Credit: AP SHARE THIS ARTICLE Russian <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/2022\/09\/22\/putins-reservists-call-up-how-will-it-work-and-what-does-it-mean-for-russias-war-in-ukraine\/\" title=\"Putin&#8217;s reservists call-up: How will it work and what does it mean for Russia&#8217;s war in Ukraine?\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2686,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[35,41,34,33,39,38,37,42,36,40],"class_list":["post-4967","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias-internacionales","tag-asia","tag-estados-unidos","tag-europa","tag-europe","tag-rusia","tag-russia","tag-ucrania","tag-uk","tag-ukraine","tag-united-states"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4967","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4967"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4967\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5215,"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4967\/revisions\/5215"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2686"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4967"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4967"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reneramon.cl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4967"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}